Disclaimer - Read this first!
This is not a signal service. While endeavoring to post signals before time occasionally I will only be able to post signals a day or two late
I am not a financial adviser. Some of these are paper trades. I am not suggesting you follow these signals. If you take any action based on my blog you do so at your own risk.
Long term wealth creation - background.
My own investments are chugging along nicely and are held in a portfolio much like the Easy system as well as a slowly growing longer term holding similar to that outlined next.
Imagine a starting position of having $200,000 and wondering what to do with it. The scenario here is to have two quite different active investing styles that feed a long term buy and hold style.
- Easy System - A trend following system on the ASX 300 using weekly charts and trailing stops.
- Monthly Momo - A momentum system aims to hold the top ten stocks in the ASX 100 when it is on and nothing when off.
- Long Term - A buy and hold strategy based on index funds fed by dividend re-investment of the index funds themselves and the stocks in the above two systems.
The starting position for this blog allocated $95,000 to each of the first two strategies and $10,000 to the long term.
Easy Share Trading System.
System Status: OFF (As at 12th Aug 2019) No new positions. Trailing stops EMA 7 < EMA 12.
System details.
These trades are based loosely on Peter Best's 'Easy share trading system' with a few of my own tweaks. If you look him up on google you will see he kindly provides quite a few details on how his system works and a list of trade entry's each week which I will be using to run these trades here.
Peter also has an e-book with much more detail and explanation of his system and trading in general. I haven't read it but encourage you to do so if you are new to trading.
- Only trade the Top 300 shares on the ASX and put 10% of your money in each stock. Only open positions when the system is on.
- Current Position Size = $6,000
- Select stocks priced between 10 cents and 20 dollars - theoretical price leverage.
- Buy the cheapest stock(s) on Peters 52 week high page assuming he continues listing them, Alternatively, buy the cheapest stock(s) in the ASX 300 making a 1 year high. For example: Friday's close is higher than last Friday's 50 week upper Donchian Channel That's the buy signal. Use around 10% of total capital each week until you have a portfolio 100% in equities. The aim is to fill your book in 10 weeks from when the system turns on.
- Sell any stock if the EMA 7 falls below the EMA 12
- Now re-employ that money into further stock(s) using the same rules as 1 to 4.
- Any purchase should have a minimum $500,000 a day turnover for my trading size.
- Use XAO_AX Daily EMA 20 and Daily EMA 30 as an on off switch. This should smooth the equity curve even though it will probably also reduce returns a little.
Opening Stock Trades.
- Nil.
Closing Stock Trades.
- Nil.
Monthly Momentum System.
System Status: ON - as at 1st Sep 2019.
Next Re-balancing 29th Sep 2019.
- Only trades when the ASX100 is rising as defined by a weekly close above the 27 week WMA + 1%. The system turns off when the ASX100 falls below the 27 Week WMA
- Buy the 10 highest momentum ASX 100 stocks in equal weights. Momentum is defined by the 30 day EMA of the 180 day ROC.
- Stop Loss Rules.
- System on - Any stock not in the top 15 at the beginning of each month. Replace with the best performing stock not currently held.
- System off - Close all positions
- Note - I am not trading this system (at the moment) but I will be updating each weekend just like the others - remember This is NOT a signal service
Opening Stock Trades.
- Nil
Closing Stock Trades.
- Nil.
Long Term.
System Status: ON - as at 1st Sep 2019.
- Only holds Index linked funds
- Each six months sum dividends received in the easy and Momo system and buy alternatively AFI or ARG.
- AFI and ARG holdings are set up for 100% dividend re-investment
Opening Stock Trades.
- Buy Equal Positions in AFI and ARG.
Chart of the Week
A2M.
The Momo system only turned on a week ago so not much to see here but I felt compelled to add a chart anyway.
Further Information
Disclosure - Personal Interests: ASL, CMW, COE, CWY, GDI, PNV, SDF, SSM, TLS, AFI, ARG
All Stock charts courtesy of www.IncredibleCharts.com
Note: I do not receive any benefit from promoting Nick Radge, Dave Landry, Andreas F Clenow, Easy Share Trading Systems, Incredible Charts or anything else.
For more information on the Easy Share Trading System see http://www.easysharetradingsystems.com.au/objective-and-planing/i-know-what-you-want
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