Saturday 7 January 2017

Stocks: 9th January 2017

Disclaimer - Read this first!

This is not a signal service. While endeavoring to post signals before time occasionally I will only be able to post signals a day or two late

I am not a financial adviser. Some of these are paper trades. I am not suggesting you follow these signals. If you take any action based on my blog you do so at your own risk.


Easy Share Trading System

System Status: ON (As at 28 November 2016) Take new positions. Trailing stops are approx 25% of the most recent high.

System details

  1. Only trade the Top 300 shares on the ASX and put 10% of your money in each stock.
  2. Select stocks priced between 10 cents and 20 dollars - theoretical price leverage.
  3. Buy the stock if it makes a 1 year high. For example: Friday's close is higher than last Friday's 50 week upper Donchian Channel That's the buy signal. If there is more than one stock that week making a 50 week high, pick the cheapest one.
  4. Sell the stock if it at any time since it's highest recent price it falls more than 25%. For example: If you buy the stock at $2, and it rises to $4 but then falls 25% to $3, you sell. This is called the 25% Stop Loss Rule.
  5. Now re-employ that money into another stock that is making a 1-year high and use the same rules as 1 to 4.
  6. Any purchase should have a minimum $500,000 a day turnover for my trading size.
  7. Use XAO_AX Daily EMA 20 and Daily EMA 30 as an on off switch. This should smooth the equity curve even though it will probably also reduce returns a little.

Opening Stock Trades

  • Nil

Closing Stock Trades

  • Nil

Weekly Momentum System

System Status: ON - as at 28 November 2016 - Portfolio re-balanced monthly, positions checked weekly. Stop Loss either a weekly close below the 100 day SMA on the WEEKLY chart, or, a spike above 7% in the 2 day volatility on the daily chart.

*** From 1 Jan 17 - I have decided to tweak the rules slightly on this system. When the system is on, a 100 day SMA stop will chop one out of trades whenever there is a stall in the price rise. Quite often this takes you out at or near the low of a retracement. Remember that the point of these trades is to take high momentum stocks when the system is on but revert to cash when it switched off. The new stop method will be -

  • The volatility stop will always be in place.
  • When the system is ON I will use a 2.7 * 21 week Avge True Range at the close as the stop.
  • When the system is OFF the 100 day SMA stop will rule.

Opening Stock Trades

  • Nil

Closing Stock Trades

  • Nil

This is after Tuesday 3rd Jan 2017. I had to adjust WOR (the lowest momentum stock) position down by 2,000 to allow for the available cash balance.

Chart of the Week

SXL has been in the portfolio for 3 months now and is just around the same price we bought it for.

Further Information


Disclosure - Personal Interests: AWC, BPT, CGC, CSR, CWY, GDI, MLD, RFF, SIP, SXL, BSL, CDA, CKF, FBU, GMA, GUD, NAN, OZL, S32, WOR.


All Stock charts courtesy of www.IncredibleCharts.com


Note: I do not receive any benefit from promoting Nick Radge, Dave Landry, Andreas F Clenow, Incredible Charts or anything else.

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